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Sunday 1 April 2018, 18:00 Stamford Bridge Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
38% 29% 33%
Home win
38.2%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
33.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea 38.2% 2.62
Draw 28.5% 3.51
Tottenham 33.3% 3.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.14
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.58
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.19
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.6% 1.94
No 48.4% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea / Draw 66.7% 1.50
Chelsea / Tottenham 71.5% 1.40
Draw / Tottenham 61.8% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
9.1
5.9
2.4
0.7
0.2
1
9.9
13.6
7.7
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.9
8.3
5.0
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
3.0
3.6
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Chelsea goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.