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Saturday 10 February 2018, 14:30 Wembley Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
62% 21% 17%
Home win
62.3%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
17.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 62.3% 1.61
Draw 20.7% 4.82
Arsenal 17.0% 5.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.04
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.37
Over 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.6% 2.74
Over 3.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 3.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 4.5 76.8% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.1% 1.69
No 40.9% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 83.0% 1.20
Tottenham / Arsenal 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Arsenal 37.7% 2.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
3.5
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
7.8
9.5
4.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
2
9.2
9.8
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
6.7
7.2
3.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.7
4.0
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.