Saturday 20 January 2018, 17:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
68%
19%
13%
Home win
68.2%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
12.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Crystal Palace | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
8.9
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.7
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
7.5
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Crystal Palace
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Arsenal
2-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
1-5
Arsenal
Jan 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Aug 2023
Crystal Palace
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.