Saturday 13 January 2018, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
38%
32%
30%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
30.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Burnley | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.6% | 7.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.8% | 17.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Burnley | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.6
|
11.4
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
14.3
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
7.4
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Crystal Palace
2-3
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
3-0
Burnley
Nov 2023
Burnley
0-2
Crystal Palace
Feb 2022
Crystal Palace
1-1
Burnley
Nov 2021
Burnley
3-3
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.