Saturday 14 April 2018, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
77%
14%
9%
Home win
76.8%
Draw
14.2%
Away win
8.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 8.9% | 11.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 39.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.2% | 9.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Bournemouth | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.5
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
8.2
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.3
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
3-2
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
4-2
Bournemouth
Feb 2025
Bournemouth
0-2
Liverpool
Sep 2024
Liverpool
3-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2024
Bournemouth
0-4
Liverpool
Aug 2023
Liverpool
3-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.