Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
75%
17%
7%
Home win
75.5%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
7.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Watford | 7.3% | 13.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Watford | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
8.0
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.0
|
8.6
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.3
|
6.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.4
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Manchester United
0-0
Watford
Nov 2021
Watford
4-1
Manchester United
Feb 2020
Manchester United
3-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
2-0
Manchester United
Mar 2019
Manchester United
2-1
Watford
Sep 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.