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Thursday 10 May 2018, 21:45 London Stadium Full time
18% 24% 58%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
58.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 17.6% 5.68
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Manchester United 58.0% 1.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.07
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.62
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.3% 2.03
No 50.7% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 42.0% 2.38
West Ham / Manchester United 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Manchester United 82.4% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
11.8
11.1
6.6
2.9
1.0
1
5.5
11.6
9.8
5.8
2.6
0.9
2
2.7
4.8
4.3
2.5
1.1
0.4
3
0.8
1.4
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.