Sunday 29 April 2018, 16:15
London Stadium
Full time
10%
16%
74%
Home win
10.5%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
73.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 10.5% | 9.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.6% | 8.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham / Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| West Ham / Manchester City | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
6.5
|
9.4
|
8.4
|
5.7
|
3.1
|
| 1 |
2.1
|
7.1
|
9.0
|
8.1
|
5.5
|
3.0
|
| 2 |
1.2
|
3.2
|
4.3
|
3.9
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
West Ham
1-1
Manchester City
Dec 2025
Manchester City
3-0
West Ham
Jan 2025
Manchester City
4-1
West Ham
Aug 2024
West Ham
1-3
Manchester City
May 2024
Manchester City
3-1
West Ham
Sep 2023
West Ham
1-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.