Monday 16 April 2018, 22:00
London Stadium
Full time
52%
25%
23%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
22.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham / Draw | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| West Ham / Stoke City | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
5.7
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
11.8
|
6.0
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.8
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.7
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.