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Saturday 29 April 2017, 17:00 bet365 Stadium Full time
48% 26% 26%
Home win
47.6%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City 47.6% 2.10
Draw 26.3% 3.80
West Ham 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.66
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.19
Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 3.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 3.5 71.0% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.16
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.84
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City / Draw 73.9% 1.35
Stoke City / West Ham 73.7% 1.36
Draw / West Ham 52.4% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
6.7
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
9.8
12.5
6.6
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.4
9.4
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
4.5
5.0
2.8
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.8
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Stoke City goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.