Skip to content
Saturday 15 April 2017, 17:00 Stadium of Light Full time
33% 28% 39%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
39.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 33.1% 3.02
Draw 27.9% 3.59
West Ham 39.0% 2.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.16
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.83
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.81
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.21
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 61.0% 1.64
Sunderland / West Ham 72.1% 1.39
Draw / West Ham 66.9% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
9.4
6.9
3.1
1.1
0.3
1
8.5
13.3
8.5
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
5.7
7.7
5.3
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.3
3.2
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.