Saturday 18 March 2017, 17:00
Stadium of Light
Full time
34%
30%
36%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
36.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Burnley | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland / Draw | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Sunderland / Burnley | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
10.6
|
6.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.9
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.6
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
2.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.