Saturday 31 December 2016, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
46%
29%
25%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
24.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Burnley / Sunderland | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.6
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
8.6
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.