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Monday 26 December 2016, 17:00 Turf Moor Full time
35% 33% 32%
Home win
34.7%
Draw
33.5%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley 34.7% 2.88
Draw 33.5% 2.99
Middlesbrough 31.8% 3.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.9% 6.31
Over 1.5 57.3% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.7% 2.34
Over 2.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 2.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.4% 8.05
Under 3.5 87.6% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.94
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.61
No 61.8% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley / Draw 68.2% 1.47
Burnley / Middlesbrough 66.5% 1.50
Draw / Middlesbrough 65.3% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.9
13.0
6.4
2.0
0.4
0.1
1
13.9
14.3
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
7.1
6.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.3
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Burnley goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.