Sunday 18 December 2016, 18:00
White Hart Lane
Full time
74%
19%
7%
Home win
74.1%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
7.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Burnley | 7.0% | 14.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.0% | 9.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Burnley | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 25.9% | 3.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
8.3
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.9
|
8.0
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.5
|
5.4
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Tottenham
Aug 2025
Tottenham
3-0
Burnley
May 2024
Tottenham
2-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
2-5
Tottenham
May 2022
Tottenham
1-0
Burnley
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-0
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.