Saturday 7 April 2018, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
10%
19%
70%
Home win
10.1%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
70.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 10.1% | 9.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 29.5% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Tottenham | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
12.1
|
13.5
|
9.7
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
9.2
|
9.3
|
6.7
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
3.0
|
3.2
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Tottenham
5-1
Stoke City
Feb 2017
Tottenham
4-0
Stoke City
Sep 2016
Stoke City
0-4
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.