Saturday 7 April 2018, 19:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
53%
26%
21%
Home win
53.1%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
20.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 20.6% | 4.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Manchester United | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
12.5
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.5
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
5.1
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Manchester United
2-0
Manchester City
Sep 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Manchester United
Apr 2025
Manchester United
0-0
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-2
Manchester United
Mar 2024
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester United
Oct 2023
Manchester United
0-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.