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Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45 Vitality Stadium Full time
19% 25% 55%
Home win
19.4%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
55.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 19.4% 5.15
Draw 25.2% 3.97
Manchester United 55.4% 1.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.69
Over 1.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.5% 3.93
Over 2.5 48.9% 2.04
Under 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.1% 3.69
Under 3.5 72.9% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.7% 7.88
Under 4.5 87.3% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.00
No 50.1% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 44.6% 2.24
Bournemouth / Manchester United 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Manchester United 80.6% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
11.6
10.5
6.0
2.6
0.9
1
5.9
12.0
9.7
5.5
2.4
0.8
2
3.0
5.2
4.5
2.5
1.1
0.4
3
0.9
1.6
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.