Saturday 15 September 2018, 19:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
20%
26%
54%
Home win
20.0%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
53.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Watford / Manchester United | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
12.6
|
10.7
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
5.2
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Manchester United
0-0
Watford
Nov 2021
Watford
4-1
Manchester United
Feb 2020
Manchester United
3-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
2-0
Manchester United
Mar 2019
Manchester United
2-1
Watford
May 2018
Manchester United
1-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.