Sunday 19 August 2018, 18:00
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
16%
29%
55%
Home win
16.3%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
54.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.9% | 7.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.8% | 6.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| No | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Brighton / Manchester United | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.9
|
17.6
|
12.8
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
12.3
|
8.1
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
3.7
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Brighton
0-3
Manchester United
Oct 2025
Manchester United
4-2
Brighton
Jan 2025
Manchester United
1-3
Brighton
Aug 2024
Brighton
2-1
Manchester United
May 2024
Brighton
0-2
Manchester United
Sep 2023
Manchester United
1-3
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.