Skip to content
Friday 10 August 2018, 22:00 Old Trafford Full time
69% 20% 11%
Home win
69.3%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
10.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 69.3% 1.44
Draw 19.9% 5.02
Leicester 10.8% 9.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.37
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.49
Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Over 3.5 31.2% 3.20
Under 3.5 68.8% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.5% 6.45
Under 4.5 84.5% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 89.2% 1.12
Manchester United / Leicester 80.1% 1.25
Draw / Leicester 30.7% 3.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
12.1
9.5
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.3
9.4
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
9.3
6.6
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.1
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.