Wednesday 9 May 2018, 21:45
King Power Stadium
Full time
28%
23%
49%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
49.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Leicester / Arsenal | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
6.0
|
6.4
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.0
|
9.2
|
6.1
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
6.7
|
6.6
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.2
|
3.2
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
Sep 2024
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Feb 2023
Leicester
0-1
Arsenal
Aug 2022
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Mar 2022
Arsenal
2-0
Leicester
Oct 2021
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.