Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:30
Emirates Stadium
Full time
59%
24%
17%
Home win
59.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
16.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Burnley | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Burnley | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 40.7% | 2.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
11.5
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.7
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Arsenal
1-0
Burnley
Nov 2025
Burnley
0-2
Arsenal
Feb 2024
Burnley
0-5
Arsenal
Nov 2023
Arsenal
3-1
Burnley
Jan 2022
Arsenal
0-0
Burnley
Sep 2021
Burnley
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.