Sunday 22 April 2018, 15:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
30%
32%
38%
Home win
30.2%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
37.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Burnley | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Burnley | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.9
|
13.5
|
7.8
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.3
|
7.3
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
6.4
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.