Sunday 2 September 2018, 18:00
Turf Moor
Full time
21%
31%
47%
Home win
21.4%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
47.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.6% | 6.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.9% | 7.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Burnley / Manchester United | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.6
|
16.4
|
10.6
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
13.4
|
7.9
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
4.7
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
3-2
Burnley
Apr 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-1
Manchester United
Dec 2021
Manchester United
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.