Sunday 26 August 2018, 18:00
Craven Cottage
Full time
35%
33%
32%
Home win
35.2%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
32.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Burnley | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.4% | 6.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.2% | 19.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham / Draw | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Fulham / Burnley | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.4
|
12.4
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
14.3
|
6.6
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
6.9
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Fulham
3-1
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
2-3
Fulham
Feb 2024
Burnley
2-2
Fulham
Dec 2023
Fulham
0-2
Burnley
May 2021
Fulham
0-2
Burnley
Feb 2021
Burnley
1-1
Fulham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.