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Saturday 18 August 2018, 17:00 Wembley Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
83% 12% 5%
Home win
83.3%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
4.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 83.3% 1.20
Draw 12.0% 8.35
Fulham 4.7% 21.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.49
Over 1.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.3% 7.00
Over 2.5 66.2% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.8% 2.95
Over 3.5 44.3% 2.26
Under 3.5 55.7% 1.80
Over 4.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 4.5 74.3% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.4% 2.42
No 58.6% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 95.3% 1.05
Tottenham / Fulham 88.0% 1.14
Draw / Fulham 16.7% 6.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.1
5.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
13.3
7.6
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.6
7.2
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
8.9
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
5.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Fulham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.