Saturday 11 August 2018, 14:30
St James' Park
Full time
20%
27%
53%
Home win
20.1%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
52.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Tottenham | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
13.5
|
10.8
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.8
|
9.2
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
5.1
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Tottenham
1-2
Newcastle
Dec 2025
Newcastle
2-2
Tottenham
Jan 2025
Tottenham
1-2
Newcastle
Sep 2024
Newcastle
2-1
Tottenham
Apr 2024
Newcastle
4-0
Tottenham
Dec 2023
Tottenham
4-1
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.