Saturday 28 April 2018, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
48%
30%
21%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
21.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| West Brom | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.6% | 6.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 16.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Newcastle / West Brom | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.4
|
8.9
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
13.4
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
8.2
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.