Monday 23 April 2018, 22:00
Goodison Park
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
24.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Everton / Newcastle | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
8.1
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.4
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Newcastle
2-3
Everton
Nov 2025
Everton
1-4
Newcastle
May 2025
Newcastle
0-1
Everton
Oct 2024
Everton
0-0
Newcastle
Apr 2024
Newcastle
1-1
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
3-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.