Wednesday 9 May 2018, 22:00
Wembley Stadium
Full time
73%
19%
8%
Home win
73.3%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
8.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 8.1% | 12.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Newcastle | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
8.6
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.2
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
6.2
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Tottenham
1-2
Newcastle
Dec 2025
Newcastle
2-2
Tottenham
Jan 2025
Tottenham
1-2
Newcastle
Sep 2024
Newcastle
2-1
Tottenham
Apr 2024
Newcastle
4-0
Tottenham
Dec 2023
Tottenham
4-1
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.