Monday 20 August 2018, 22:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
22%
24%
55%
Home win
21.9%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
54.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Liverpool | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
8.4
|
8.6
|
5.5
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
11.0
|
9.8
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
5.9
|
5.6
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.2
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Liverpool
3-1
Crystal Palace
Sep 2025
Crystal Palace
2-1
Liverpool
May 2025
Liverpool
1-1
Crystal Palace
Oct 2024
Crystal Palace
0-1
Liverpool
Apr 2024
Liverpool
0-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2023
Crystal Palace
1-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.