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Sunday 12 August 2018, 15:30 Anfield Full time
4–0
HT 2–0
78% 14% 8%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
7.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 78.5% 1.27
Draw 13.6% 7.33
West Ham 7.9% 12.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 37.71
Over 1.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.6% 9.39
Over 2.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 3.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 3.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 4.5 32.6% 3.06
Under 4.5 67.4% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.81
No 44.9% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 92.1% 1.09
Liverpool / West Ham 86.4% 1.16
Draw / West Ham 21.5% 4.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
1.6
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
1
6.3
6.1
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
2
9.7
8.4
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.4
8.2
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
6.8
5.9
2.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
4.0
3.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.