Saturday 15 October 2016, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
38%
26%
36%
Home win
38.3%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
35.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.7% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Sunderland | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
7.1
|
5.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
12.3
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.6
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.2
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.