Saturday 16 September 2017, 19:30
Wembley Stadium
Full time
85%
11%
4%
Home win
85.3%
Draw
10.6%
Away win
4.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.6% | 9.40 | — | — |
| Swansea | 4.1% | 24.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Swansea | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
7.2
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.7
|
7.2
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.5
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.7
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.