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Saturday 9 September 2017, 14:30 Etihad Stadium Full time
49% 24% 27%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 48.7% 2.06
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Liverpool 27.0% 3.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.60
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.64
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.5% 1.63
No 38.5% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Manchester City / Liverpool 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Liverpool 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
5.2
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
7.4
11.1
6.8
3.0
1.0
0.3
2
7.3
9.5
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
4.4
5.7
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
2.0
2.6
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.