Saturday 9 September 2017, 14:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
49%
24%
27%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 48.7% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Liverpool | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
5.2
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
11.1
|
6.8
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
5.7
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Manchester City
0-2
Liverpool
Dec 2024
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester City
Mar 2024
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.