Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
18%
23%
59%
Home win
18.4%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
58.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.7% | 2.23 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Watford / Manchester City | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
9.4
|
9.8
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
10.8
|
10.0
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.1
|
5.0
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Manchester City
5-1
Watford
Dec 2021
Watford
1-3
Manchester City
Jul 2020
Watford
0-4
Manchester City
Sep 2019
Manchester City
8-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Manchester City
3-1
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.