Saturday 1 September 2018, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
49%
28%
23%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
23.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Southampton | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Southampton | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
7.9
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
13.2
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.0
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Southampton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
2-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-2
Crystal Palace
Oct 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2022
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2021
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.