Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
12%
20%
67%
Home win
12.5%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
67.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 12.5% | 8.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Southampton / Manchester City | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
10.6
|
11.9
|
8.5
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
| 1 |
3.7
|
9.6
|
9.7
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
| 2 |
1.7
|
3.7
|
4.0
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Southampton
0-0
Manchester City
Oct 2024
Manchester City
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
1-4
Manchester City
Oct 2022
Manchester City
4-0
Southampton
Jan 2022
Southampton
1-1
Manchester City
Sep 2021
Manchester City
0-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.