Saturday 18 August 2018, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
52%
27%
21%
Home win
51.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Southampton | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Everton / Southampton | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
7.1
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
12.8
|
5.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.3
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Everton
2-0
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
1-0
Everton
Jan 2023
Everton
1-2
Southampton
Oct 2022
Southampton
1-2
Everton
Feb 2022
Southampton
2-0
Everton
Aug 2021
Everton
3-1
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.