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Saturday 15 September 2018, 14:30 Wembley Stadium Full time
48% 25% 26%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
26.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 48.4% 2.07
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Liverpool 26.2% 3.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.94
Over 1.5 78.9% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.1% 4.75
Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 3.5 67.3% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.6% 6.04
Under 4.5 83.4% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 73.8% 1.36
Tottenham / Liverpool 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Liverpool 51.6% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
6.0
4.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.8
12.0
6.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
8.0
9.5
5.7
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
4.5
5.4
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.9
2.3
1.4
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.