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Saturday 29 September 2018, 17:00 Molineux Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
51% 30% 20%
Home win
50.6%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
19.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Wolves 50.6% 1.98
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Southampton 19.5% 5.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.43
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 2.5 66.0% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.49
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.14
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.8% 2.58
No 61.2% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Wolves / Draw 80.5% 1.24
Wolves / Southampton 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Southampton 49.4% 2.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
8.5
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
13.1
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.4
8.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
5.1
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Wolves goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.