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Saturday 25 August 2018, 14:30 Molineux Stadium Full time
Wolves
1–1
HT 0–0
Manchester City
10% 17% 72%
Home win
10.3%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
72.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Wolves 10.3% 9.72 — —
Draw 17.3% 5.79 — —
Manchester City 72.4% 1.38 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.55 — —
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19 — —
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.36 — —
Over 2.5 63.5% 1.57 — —
Under 2.5 36.5% 2.74 — —
Over 3.5 41.4% 2.42 — —
Under 3.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Over 4.5 23.3% 4.30 — —
Under 4.5 76.7% 1.30 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
No 48.1% 2.08 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Wolves / Draw 27.6% 3.63 — —
Wolves / Manchester City 82.7% 1.21 — —
Draw / Manchester City 89.7% 1.11 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
8.8
11.3
9.2
5.6
2.8
1
2.7
8.1
9.4
7.6
4.7
2.3
2
1.3
3.2
3.9
3.2
1.9
0.9
3
0.4
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.3
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Wolves goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Wolves
D L
Manchester City
D W W W W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Manchester City 2-0 Wolves Aug 2025 Wolves 0-4 Manchester City May 2025 Manchester City 1-0 Wolves Oct 2024 Wolves 1-2 Manchester City May 2024 Manchester City 5-1 Wolves Sep 2023 Wolves 2-1 Manchester City

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.