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Saturday 22 September 2018, 17:00 Old Trafford Full time
Manchester United
1–1
HT 1–0
Wolves
58% 27% 15%
Home win
57.8%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
14.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 57.8% 1.73 — —
Draw 27.4% 3.64 — —
Wolves 14.8% 6.77 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.14 — —
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.90 — —
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.72 — —
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81 — —
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.05 — —
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20 — —
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.56 — —
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.7% 2.72 — —
No 63.3% 1.58 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 85.2% 1.17 — —
Manchester United / Wolves 72.6% 1.38 — —
Draw / Wolves 42.2% 2.37 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
6.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.3
11.9
3.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
8.4
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
6.7
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Wolves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Manchester United
W L L W W
Wolves
D L D W W

Head to head

Dec 2025 Manchester United 1-1 Wolves Dec 2025 Wolves 1-4 Manchester United Apr 2025 Manchester United 0-1 Wolves Dec 2024 Wolves 2-0 Manchester United Feb 2024 Wolves 3-4 Manchester United Aug 2023 Manchester United 1-0 Wolves

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.