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Sunday 16 September 2018, 15:30 Molineux Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
46% 31% 23%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
22.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Wolves 46.0% 2.18
Draw 31.4% 3.18
Burnley 22.6% 4.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.91
Over 1.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 2.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.11
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.41
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Wolves / Draw 77.4% 1.29
Wolves / Burnley 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Burnley 54.0% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
9.8
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
15.9
13.6
4.9
1.3
0.2
0.0
2
10.2
7.8
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
4.1
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Wolves goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.