Saturday 1 September 2018, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
73%
17%
11%
Home win
72.5%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
10.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.9% | 5.92 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 10.6% | 9.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 26.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Bournemouth | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
7.8
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.3
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
7.8
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.6
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Chelsea
May 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.