Sunday 26 August 2018, 18:00
St James' Park
Full time
24%
29%
47%
Home win
23.9%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
47.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.6% | 11.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Chelsea | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
13.0
|
9.7
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.4
|
8.9
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
5.8
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Chelsea
0-1
Newcastle
Dec 2025
Newcastle
2-2
Chelsea
May 2025
Newcastle
2-0
Chelsea
Oct 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Mar 2024
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Nov 2023
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.