Saturday 18 August 2018, 14:30
Cardiff City Stadium
Full time
33%
32%
35%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
35.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 33.1% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.5% | 7.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 16.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff / Draw | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Cardiff / Newcastle | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.5
|
12.5
|
7.0
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
14.3
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|