Skip to content
Monday 1 October 2018, 22:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
45% 26% 30%
Home win
44.5%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
29.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 44.5% 2.25
Draw 25.8% 3.87
Crystal Palace 29.7% 3.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 16.00
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.77
Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 3.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 3.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.6% 6.01
Under 4.5 83.4% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.4% 1.71
No 41.6% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 70.3% 1.42
Bournemouth / Crystal Palace 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Crystal Palace 55.5% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
6.4
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.2
1
8.3
12.1
7.3
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.2
9.2
5.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
3.9
5.0
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.6
2.0
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.