Saturday 22 September 2018, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
40%
29%
31%
Home win
40.4%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
30.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Burnley / Bournemouth | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
9.1
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.7
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.5
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Burnley
0-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
1-1
Burnley
Mar 2024
Burnley
0-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2023
Bournemouth
2-1
Burnley
Feb 2020
Burnley
3-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2019
Bournemouth
0-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.